Governor Must Stay Strong on Budget Math, Compromise on Taxes

Joe Mathews's picture
Journalist and Irvine senior fellow at the New America Foundation. He is co-author of California Crackup: How Reform Broke the Golden State and How We Can Fix It (UC Press, 2010).

Governor Schwarzenegger is right to demand that the legislature deal with the entire $24 billion shortfall. Why? Because the budget crisis we face now is itself product of previous budget deals that didn’t solve the whole problem.

The examples are immediate. Even before the ink was dry on February’s deal, the state had another $8 billion shortfall. With the voters’ rejection of some $6 billion in budget solutions and the continued decline in revenues, that shortfall has grown to today’s shortfall. And last fall’s budget was out of balance nearly as soon as it’s signed.

It’s possible that even a budget package that gets to $24 billion may not be enough if the economy remains in the toilet. So the governor needs to take a hard line—he should not accept a budget that doesn’t have $24 billion in solutions. He should avoid accounting tricks and gimmicks, including some of the ones he himself has proposed. And he should not hesitate to hold out deep into the summer, even if it means that the state must send out IOUs and see a further reduction in its credit rating. California survived both in the early 90s.

And we have the freedom of people who are already broke and are out of options. At this point, getting a real budget solution is perhaps the only way that we’ll be able to pay off those IOUs (when they come due in October) and restore that credit rating (though finding a way to send money to the credit agencies might help us more, if the recent history of the credit agencies, which seem very kind to companies that do business with them, is any guide).

But – and this is a big but – he should be open to the idea of targeted taxes as part of getting to a real $24 billion in solutions. The verdict of voters was not as anti-tax as the governor or other politicians have claimed. Tax hikes on tobacco, severance and alcohol are all very legitimate. The fact that this state doesn’t have a severance tax is a scandal.

In embracing some tax increases, Schwarzenegger needs to remind Democrats and voters that such taxes provide only a small fraction of the budget solutions needed. The real problem with the Democratic budget package isn’t that it raises some of these taxes. It’s that even with these taxes, it doesn’t come close to the $24 billion in budget solutions needed.

I continue to believe, despite the protestations of the Obama administration and Congress, that part of the solution to the current cash and budget crisis will include federal assistance. (And not just for California—a half-dozen other states, most notably Arizona, are in danger of governmental meltdown and need help too). It will be far easier to make the case for federal assistance if the legislature and governor go all the way to $24 billion in cuts and taxes. Yes, those cuts and taxes will be pain. But the pain must be severe to boost our case for the federal aid the state needs and deserves.

Tax increase won't work!

CaliforniaScreaming, you just don't get it. Tax increases simply won't work in the economic climate we're in now, they'll only result in fewer revenues for the state. Period. Furthermore, the problem here simply isn't that the state's income stream has dropped, at least not before this year. Even if increasing tax rates resulted in more money for the state, I would *still* oppose it simply because these people running things continue to pile on program after program, hire more people, give them generous benefit packages, spend, spend, spend, and then spend some more! *They're* the ones who need to get themselves under control and stop trying to squeeze more money from the taxpayer. I don't owe them another red cent. But you're more than welcome to send more to them if you think they deserve it.

Just Look Around

Every day I hear of more cut-backs and lay-offs in the private sector, perhaps it is time the California Government took a lesson from private business. If we don't have the money to operate we cut-back expenses, and if necessary we have to lay-off workers, if we can not pay our taxes and operational expenses we must close our doors. There is no taxpayer for us to continue to ROB! Might as well turn out the lights and lock the doors of the legislature, we would get the same results and save alot of energy. Might even prevent global warming by reducing HOT AIR emissions.

Time to bargain.

I agree that if the Republican party was smart they would go along with tax increases you mentioned. Especially the cig and alcohol tax and tie them to inflation. Also I agree there should be a severance tax on oil based on barrel of oil. The Republican party will shoot itself in the foot if it plays this out too long and people find out their is no tax in extracting OUR natural resources. Have it indexed on the price per barrel. With all things equal if the production costs remain the same and the demand goes up the price per barrel goes up well then some of the windfall should go the state. I think that works in Alaska. Yeah Sarah Palin sure likes that. Didn't she fight against those oil barons? Their argument is it will chase oil companies out. I don't think so as record profits the last few years show they are not worried about going out of business. However all this must be done with concessions on the pensions and cuts in bloated entitlements of health care, caregivers, and illegal alien entitlements. If the Dems dont budge then Republicans shouldn't budge.

It was about taxes

The rejection of the ballot initiatives was about taxes. Plain and simple. At least you are starting to recognize that painfully obvious fact.

We pay enough in taxes. A vast majority of Californians know this to be true. The problems with the budget are firmly rooted in a state legislature that has been completely unwilling to control spending.

We've had enough of the government class taking more and more from us. It's time for state of California to live within its means, and that means cuts and no new taxes, PERIOD.



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