What if they called an election and nobody came? That seems to be the story this November. Turnout for the June primary, just 25 percent of registered voters, was the lowest in history. The November turnout will probably not surpass 45 percent, also an historic low.
Many analysts assume that this lower turnout bodes well for Republicans but in fact the significant drop-off between this year’s primary and the comparable non-presidential year primary in 2010 seems to have been among Republican voters.
In the 2010 primary, 45 percent of registered Republicans cast a ballot for governor compared to 32 percent of registered Democrats. In raw totals, the GOP primary vote nearly equaled the Democratic vote. This year only 33 percent of Republicans cast a ballot for governor compared to 31 percent of Democrats. Interestingly, the Democratic raw vote total in 2014, 2,392,000 votes cast for governor, was nearly equal to the Democratic votes cast in vote 2010, 2,395,000. But the Republican vote fell from 2,377,000 in 2010 to just 1,684,000 in 2014, a drop of 693,000.