California Jumps the Shark

Joel Kotkin
Editor of NewGeography.com and Presidential fellow in urban futures at Chapman University

America may have trended toward the GOP, but California seems determined to find its own direction. The only question is, simply, how much more progressive the Golden State will become, even in the face of a far more conservative country beyond the Sierras. This election confirmed, if it was needed, the death spiral of the […]

Read more

Improbable Demographics Behind Donald Trump’s Shocking Presidential Victory

Joel Kotkin
Editor of NewGeography.com and Presidential fellow in urban futures at Chapman University

In an election so ugly and so close, one is reluctant to proclaim winners. But it’s clear that there’s a loser — the very notion of the United States of America. Instead we have populations and geographies that barely seem to belong in the same country, if not on the same planet. The electorate is […]

Read more

Real Estate Doesn’t Make An Economy

Joel Kotkin
Editor of NewGeography.com and Presidential fellow in urban futures at Chapman University

From Southern California to Shanghai and London, inflated real estate prices have evolved into a simulacrum for broader prosperity. In an era of limited income gains, growing inequality, political dysfunction and fading productivity, the conjunction of low interest rates and essentially free money for the rich and well-placed has sparked the construction of often expensive, […]

Read more

The New War Between the States

Joel Kotkin
Editor of NewGeography.com and Presidential fellow in urban futures at Chapman University

In this disgusting election, dominated by the personal and the petty, the importance of the nation’s economic geography has been widely ignored. Yet if you look at the Electoral College map, the correlation between politics and economics is quite stark, with one economy tilting decisively toward Trump and more generally to Republicans, the other toward […]

Read more

Is there a future for the GOP?

Joel Kotkin
Editor of NewGeography.com and Presidential fellow in urban futures at Chapman University

Whether he loses or, more unlikely, wins, Donald Trump creates an existential crisis for the Republican Party. The New York poseur has effectively undermined the party orthodoxy on defense, trade and economics, policies which have been dominant for the last half century within the party but now are falling rapidly out of fashion among the […]

Read more

California’s Boom Is Poised To Go Bust — And Liberals’ Dream Of Scandinavia On The Pacific

Joel Kotkin
Editor of NewGeography.com and Presidential fellow in urban futures at Chapman University

As its economy started to recover in 2010, progressives began to hail California as a kind of Scandinavia on the Pacific — a place where liberal programs also produce prosperity. The state’s recovery has won plaudits from such respected figures as The American Prospect’s Harold Meyerson and the New York Times’ Paul Krugman. Gov. Jerry Brown, in Bill Maher’s assessment, “took a […]

Read more

How the Middle Class Lost the Election

Joel Kotkin
Editor of NewGeography.com and Presidential fellow in urban futures at Chapman University

Middle-class rage has dominated this election, but ultimately 2016 seems destined to produce not a populist victory but the triumph of oligarchy. Blame goes to a large section of the middle and working class itself, which, in rejecting political convention, ended up with a candidate who never would have served their interests. You can blame […]

Read more

Geographies of Inequality

Joel Kotkin
Editor of NewGeography.com and Presidential fellow in urban futures at Chapman University

(Joel Kotkin’s new report, “Geographies of Inequality,” is the latest in a series of ahead-of-the-curve, groundbreaking pieces published through Third Way’sNEXT initiative. NEXT is made up of in-depth, commissioned academic research papers that look at trends that will shape policy over the coming decades. In particular, we are aiming to unpack some of the prevailing assumptions that […]

Read more

Today’s Tech Oligarchs Are Worse Than the Robber Barons

Joel Kotkin
Editor of NewGeography.com and Presidential fellow in urban futures at Chapman University

Yes, Jay Gould was a bad guy. But at least he helped build societal wealth. Not so our Silicon Valley overlords. And they have our politicians in their pockets. A decade ago these guys—and they are mostly guys—were folk heroes, and for many people, they remain so. They represented everything traditional business, from Wall Street and Hollywood […]

Read more

The Future of Latino Politics

Joel Kotkin
Editor of NewGeography.com and Presidential fellow in urban futures at Chapman University

The sad decline in race relations has focused, almost exclusively, on the age-old, and sadly growing, chasm between black and white. Yet this divide may prove far less important, particularly in this election, than the direction of the Latino community. This may be the first election where Latinos, now the nation’s largest minority group, may […]

Read more