Trump and the California GOP
There are two scenarios under which Donald Trump’s performance in the 2020 election could hurt the California Republican Party. The first is that he loses.
John J. Pitney, Jr.
June 11, 2020
Author: John J. Pitney, Jr.
Professor of government at Claremont McKenna College and coauthor of American Government and Politics: Deliberation
Dark Horses
The Republican National Convention is probably going to pick Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, or (much less likely) John Kasich. Since 1972, every major-party presidential nominee
John J. Pitney, Jr.
April 18, 2016
Will the GOP Come Apart?
Donald Trump scored major victories on Tuesday night, but failed to sweep all the five primaries. In exit polls of the five states, about one-fourth of GOP primary voters
John J. Pitney, Jr.
March 16, 2016
Primary Performance Does Not Predict General Election Outcomes
When candidates win primaries or caucuses, they often try to spin the outcome as a portent of the general election. So what do the nomination
John J. Pitney, Jr.
March 9, 2016
Republicans: Even More Divided Than Usual
Even as Donald Trump was racking up big wins on Super Tuesday,exit polls showed a deeply divided party. Most Cruz and Rubio voters said that they would
John J. Pitney, Jr.
March 2, 2016
Trump and California
Now that Donald Trump has won the Nevada caucuses by a convincing margin, it’s time to ponder what will happen in neighboring California. Out-of-state pundits
John J. Pitney, Jr.
February 25, 2016
After Nevada and South Carolina
Defeat can be a much better teacher than victory. Hillary Clinton entered the 2008 nomination as the odds-on favorite, but in a stunning upset, lost
John J. Pitney, Jr.
February 22, 2016
The Presidential Race: But Seriously…
When George Wallace ran for the Democratic presidential nomination in 1972, his slogan was “Send Them a Message!” Last night’s winners might as well have
John J. Pitney, Jr.
February 10, 2016
Iowa, Psychology, and Arithmetic
The Iowa story is about psychology, not arithmetic. Iowa sends 44 pledged delegates to the Democratic National Convention, 30 to the Republican National Convention. In
John J. Pitney, Jr.
February 2, 2016