Two Decades of Interstate Migration

Wendell Cox
Wendell Cox is principal of Demographia, an international public policy firm. He is a founding senior fellow at the Urban Reform Institute, Houston and a member of the Advisory Board of the Center for Demographics and Policy at Chapman University in Orange, California. Mayor Tom Bradley appointed him to three terms on the Los Angeles County Transportation Commission

America is still a mobile nation. Back in the 2000-2010 decade, 12.9 million people moved interstate, nearly five percent of the total population. In the 2010s the population has been a bit less mobile, with net domestic migration of 11.7 million residents, slightly under four percent. Nonetheless, 11.7 million is a large number. This is nearly equal to the population of Ohio, with only five states being larger (California, Texas, Florida, New York, Pennsylvania and Illinois). This article describes net domestic migration trends by state from 2000 to 2019 (Note).

Top Domestic Migration Population Gainers

As has been the case with population growth for decades, states in the South and the West had the largest numbers of net domestic migrants. Six of the top ten states were in the South, and four were in the West. However, unlike in the middle to late decades of the 20th Century, California no longer ranks among the leaders.

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If the Texas Economic Miracle Can’t Figure Out Renewables – Neither Can California

Todd Royal
Todd Royal is an independent public policy consultant focusing on the geopolitical implications of energy based in Los Angeles, California.

Any electrical grid relying on renewables (mainly wind turbines and solar panels) electricity prices can rise as much as 40,000% in Texas, and blackouts are inevitable. From New York to Great Britain – and now California – blackouts happen over heavy renewable usage.  

California’s conundrum is hardly prescient nor is Texas a fossil fuel powerhouse since approximately 20 percent of its electrical generation comes from wind turbines. Texas in 2018 had the massive spike in prices, and their entire reserve margin of generating capacity went away during a heat wave. California now suffers the same problems. More importantly for both, and likely California more than Texas is the push to electrify homes and entire sectors of the economy. Cost considerations alone should make California pause in this rush for decarbonization via the electrical grid. 

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‘We Hope They Die’…The Demise of Common Decency

Daniel Yukelson
Daniel Yukelson is currently the Executive Director of The Apartment Association of Greater Los Angeles (AAGLA).

I was deeply saddened and disturbed to learn about the protestors that stood outside of St. Francis Hospital in Lynwood chanting ‘we hope they die’ while two of our brave Los Angeles County Sheriff’s Deputies lay wounded following an unprovoked ambush-style shooting in Compton.  What is happening in our community today where our first responders, our great protectors who answer our 9-1-1 emergencies, are not only subjected to unprovoked lethal attacks, but in the hospital fighting to survive, face chants of ‘we hope you die?’ 

It is difficult to explain let alone comprehend the type of behavior and loss of human decency that would see protestors block an entrance to a hospital’s emergency room and engage in chanting ‘we hope they die’ to our peace officers lying in critical condition after being ambushed and shot for no apparent reason other than for putting on a uniform to protect each of us from the very crime perpetrated on them past Saturday.  

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Put the Legislature in an NBA-Style Bubble

Joe Mathews
Connecting California Columnist and Editor, Zócalo Public Square, Fellow at the Center for Social Cohesion at Arizona State University and co-author of California Crackup: How Reform Broke the Golden State and How We Can Fix It (UC Press, 2010)

The Capitol and the blocks around it often feel like a bubble, especially for those of us who visit from that faraway place called the Rest of California. 

Now it’s time to make it a real bubble, so the legislature can do its work.

The California legislature finished its session without doing essential business on all manner of urgent issues—from COVID relief to fires to police reform. (I’d also throw tax reform into the mix, but that’s a subject for a different column). That was largely because of COVID. The legislature shut down at different points of the year because of the pandemic. And the end of session also saw conflict over remote voting, and the rules surrounding it.

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Census deadline approaches

Loren Kaye
President of the California Foundation for Commerce and Education

The unremitting pandemic and economic crises of 2020 have overshadowed what would normally have been a dominant event of community action: the decennial census. Most of you are probably generally aware of the census, but few of you likely know that the census will conclude at the end of this month.

The census is more than just a head count. The results of the enumeration will determine how many seats California gets in Congress, and will guide how more than $675 billion in federal funding is distributed to states and communities each year on infrastructure, health care, schools and more.

Communities that are undercounted could lose political influence as well as resources that contribute to individual well-being and thriving communities, like health clinics and public transportation options.

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California Initiative Editorial Scorecard

Joe Rodota and Matt Klink
Joe Rodota is CEO of Forward Observer and Matt Klink is a Partner at California Strategies

For this 2020 edition of the scorecard, we track editorials on the 12 ballot measures that California voters will decide on Tuesday, November 3. 

This year’s editorial scorecard is based on circulation data from the Alliance for Audited Media for 22 newspaper outlets:

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Facing Fire Danger; Moving Toward Solutions

Joel Fox
Editor and Co-Publisher of Fox and Hounds Daily

With newspapers from California to Texas to the nation’s capital running stories over the weekend that Californians are thinking of leaving the state, there could be a plus if they actually do go – reducing the population to reduce fire danger.

Many reasons have been put forward on why California is suffering from devastating fires, and that includes excess population. Not only has increased growth pushed needed housing development into fire danger zones, but the heat built up to add to the state’s combustible condition is not only weather related. Climatologist Bill Patzert, formerly of the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, told Steve Lopez of the Los Angeles Times, “We’ve created this essentially 20-million-person megalopolis (in Southern California) which creates its own heat, especially in summertime.” He said average temperatures are eight to nine degrees higher than in the early 20th century.   

It might seem strange to consider population reduction as a good thing, especially since California often hails it growth, size and influence. When California passed New York to become the most populous state in the nation, Governor Pat Brown called for a statewide celebration.

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Newsom vows to fast track toward Germany’s failed climate goals

Ronald Stein
Founder and Ambassador for Energy & Infrastructure of PTS Advance, headquartered in Irvine, California

Governor Newsom announced on Friday September 11th  that he is about to take one giant step toward following Germany’s failed climate goals which should be a wake-up all for governments everywhere.  Like Germany, California’s renewables are becoming an increasing share in intermittent electricity generation, but at a HIGH COST.  Power prices in Germany are among the highest in Europe. 

California’s high cost of electricity is already fifty percent higher than the national average for residents, and double the national averages for commercial, and are projected to go even higher. The inability to replace the closure of continuously uninterruptable electricity from nuclear and natural gas power plants with intermittent electricity from renewables of industrial wind and solar is causing the state to import more and more of its electricity.

California is proud of being the only state in America that imports more electricity than any other state, now at 32 percent. With the state having no plans to replace the capacity of the recent three natural gas power plants that were shuttered in 2018 and the upcoming five power plant closures (four natural gas and one nuclear) with in-state intermittent electricity from wind and solar, California will need to increase its imports of high-priced electricity from the Northwest and Southwest to fill the void,  and let residents and businesses pay the premium. 

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Prop. 15 Empowers Big Business, Destroys Small Business

Edward Ring
Edward Ring is a co-founder and senior fellow at the California Policy Center

California’s state and local governments, and the public sector unions that exercise nearly absolute control over the politicians who supposedly oversee them, have always had an insatiable desire for higher taxes. The economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic has added even more urgency to their insatiable quest for more money from taxpayers, but through the years their basic game plan and goals have been remarkably consistent.

For example, the so-called “Split Roll” property tax increase which has finally made it onto the November 2020 state ballot in the form of Prop. 15, is something that has been proposed for years by California’s government unions and their supporters. This new tax is designed to undermine the historic 1978 Prop. 13, which limits property reassessments to when there is a change in ownership, and from that baseline keeps increases to maximum of two percent per year. Prop. 13 also freezes the property tax rate at one percent, although countless local “fees” have elevated the actual amount owners have to pay.

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Balancing California’s Budget Should Start With Rescinding Tax Breaks That Have Not Created Promised Jobs

Robert B. Engel
Robert B. Engel is the chief spokesperson for the Free & Fair Markets Initiative.

As California continues to confront an economic challenge without modern precedent, lawmakers have the near-impossible task of balancing the budget. They should start by revisiting lucrative tax breaks tied to job creation that have potentially failed to live up to their promise. Deals that have, in fact, fallen short should be immediately rescinded, providing much-needed revenue for the state and putting California back on the path to economic recovery.  

With both a significant decline in revenues and a rapid rise in unemployment, California budget shortfalls are expected to reach $9.7 billion by year’s end as states nationwide grapple with lasting damage that experts estimate could top $555 billion. With the clock ticking on how the state will balance its budgets in the years to come, lawmakers must urgently explore realistic and prudent possibilities for ensuring financial solvency by any means.

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